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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+4.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.36vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.17+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.01+1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.19+0.29vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11+0.25vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.39-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.61+1.61vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.35-0.21vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.37-1.03vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.65-4.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-3.17vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-4.28-0.47vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.19-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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6.28San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.83University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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7.25Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.65University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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11.61University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.79Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.97Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.8Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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15.53Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 26.1% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 7.0% | 85.5% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 34.4% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.