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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.30vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.51+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.01+3.75vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+4.61vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.70vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11+0.24vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.17-1.84vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.35+1.84vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.37+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.19-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.61-0.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.12vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.65-5.32vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-4.28-0.48vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.19-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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5.27Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.75University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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8.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.67University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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7.24Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.16San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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10.84Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.98Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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11.54University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.68Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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15.52Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 24.9% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| William Procter | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 1.3% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 2.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 85.8% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 33.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.