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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.19+3.84vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19+4.28vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.17+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39+0.28vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.65+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.01-0.67vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.51-3.20vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.37+1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware0.06-3.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-4.44vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-3.77vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.35-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of North Texas-1.61-2.56vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-4.28-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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8.28Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.93San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.28University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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9.62Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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5.8Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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11.8Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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9.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.54Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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12.44University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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15.74Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 23.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 3.5% |
| Quinn Harrington | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 1.7% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 32.2% | 3.4% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 90.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.