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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.19+5.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware0.06+3.43vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.19+3.16vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.63vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.01-0.70vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.53vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.17-3.03vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.51-5.20vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.39-5.78vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37-1.30vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-1.61-1.71vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.35-4.23vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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8.16Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.3University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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9.53Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.97San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.8Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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11.7Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.29University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.77Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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15.75Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa McComiskey | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 23.7% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 2.5% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 31.1% | 3.5% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 2.2% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 90.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.