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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.58vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+2.04vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86-0.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+0.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97-1.95vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.3%1st Place
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4.04Christopher Newport University0.658.6%1st Place
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2.36Georgetown University1.8633.4%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy-0.215.8%1st Place
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3.05Old Dominion University0.9720.8%1st Place
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3.29George Washington University0.9317.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 13.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 22.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 33.4% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 45.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 20.8% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 7.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 17.2% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.