Race 5B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan White 21.8% 20.6% 15.0% 11.6% 10.3% 10.2% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
John Giuliano 18.5% 18.0% 14.9% 14.2% 12.2% 9.3% 5.8% 4.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.4% 6.9% 8.1% 6.2% 8.1% 10.9% 14.5% 16.0% 13.7% 9.2%
Richard Graef 12.0% 11.9% 15.0% 14.3% 13.3% 11.2% 10.1% 6.9% 4.0% 1.3%
Tommy Holmberg 15.7% 14.6% 14.9% 16.0% 13.0% 9.5% 7.9% 3.7% 3.6% 1.1%
Christopher Hulse 7.4% 6.9% 8.2% 8.6% 11.1% 11.9% 12.1% 15.2% 10.6% 8.0%
Molly Haley 5.0% 6.5% 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 12.3% 15.6% 11.9% 13.9% 9.1%
Nick Belsito 3.5% 3.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.7% 7.8% 9.7% 13.5% 21.3% 23.8%
Justin Marks 7.7% 8.5% 7.9% 10.6% 12.4% 10.9% 12.1% 13.0% 11.1% 5.8%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 6.0% 7.3% 11.6% 18.1% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.