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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.01+5.36vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware0.06+4.25vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.19+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.31vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.19+2.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.70vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.48vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.39-2.84vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.37+1.81vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.17-4.15vs Predicted
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12Purdue University0.51-6.09vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.61-0.68vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-4.85vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.35-3.25vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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8.15Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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9.48Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.16University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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11.81Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.85San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.91Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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12.32University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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9.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.75Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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15.74Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Harrington | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 22.2% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 22.6% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 32.5% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 2.2% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 90.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.