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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+2.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+0.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+0.34vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+0.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Old Dominion University0.9719.6%1st Place
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2.36Georgetown University1.8633.7%1st Place
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3.34George Washington University0.9317.1%1st Place
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4.01Christopher Newport University0.6510.1%1st Place
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3.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.4%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy-0.216.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 19.6% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 7.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 33.7% | 27.0% | 19.5% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 17.1% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 11.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 24.7% | 22.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 13.4% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 12.6% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.