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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.59+2.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.70+0.53vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.49+2.17vs Predicted
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5Bates College2.43-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.71-0.38vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.08vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.55+0.01vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.92-1.61vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.50-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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4.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.53Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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6.17Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.03Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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5.92Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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8.01Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.39Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.14Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Giuliano | 21.7% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Richard Graef | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Ryan White | 19.9% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Molly Haley | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Justin Marks | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 40.6% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 25.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.