← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.50vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.63+4.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.03+5.94vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.93+5.00vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.69+4.92vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.78+7.27vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.93-2.55vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.38vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.54-2.94vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.81+2.25vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.16-3.41vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College2.35-5.58vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-7.95vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University1.08-2.81vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.68-2.32vs Predicted
-
17Washington College1.02-4.44vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-0.33-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.63George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.94University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.0Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.92Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
13.27Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
-
6.97U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.45Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
-
7.06Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
13.25Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.59Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
7.42SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
12.19Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
13.68William and Mary0.680.0%1st Place
-
12.56Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
-
15.92Columbia University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Gray Benson | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Burns | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 10.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Nathan Whisner | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 12.4% |
| Alex Heim | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Yuen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.