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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+0.36vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+0.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+0.66vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65-0.98vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6715.2%1st Place
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2.36Georgetown University1.8633.1%1st Place
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3.09Old Dominion University0.9719.1%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Naval Academy-0.216.8%1st Place
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4.02Christopher Newport University0.6510.1%1st Place
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3.36George Washington University0.9315.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 15.2% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 12.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 33.1% | 27.8% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 19.1% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 6.7% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 45.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 23.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 15.8% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.