← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut2.59+2.79vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.70+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.50+3.38vs Predicted
-
4Bates College2.43+0.19vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.48vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire1.71-0.20vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University1.49-0.67vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College0.92-0.50vs Predicted
-
9Brandeis University1.25-2.14vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
-
3.58Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
-
6.38Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
-
4.19Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
5.8University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.33Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.5Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.86Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.04Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Giuliano | 18.9% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan White | 19.9% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Richard Graef | 13.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Justin Marks | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Molly Haley | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 32.4% |
| Jared Dunn | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.5% |
| Christopher Hulse | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.