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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Giuliano 18.9% 18.8% 14.4% 12.7% 10.3% 9.6% 7.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.4%
Ryan White 19.9% 19.9% 15.4% 12.4% 12.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.2% 6.5% 7.4% 6.5% 8.0% 9.3% 13.3% 16.0% 14.4% 12.4%
Tommy Holmberg 14.2% 15.1% 14.3% 15.8% 11.3% 10.5% 7.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.4%
Richard Graef 13.7% 11.1% 12.4% 15.7% 12.9% 11.4% 9.0% 6.5% 5.2% 2.1%
Justin Marks 8.0% 7.1% 9.5% 7.9% 11.5% 12.7% 11.5% 11.8% 10.8% 9.2%
Molly Haley 4.8% 5.7% 8.9% 7.9% 9.3% 10.2% 13.3% 13.3% 14.2% 12.4%
Nick Belsito 3.5% 3.0% 5.0% 4.9% 6.7% 8.0% 8.6% 11.2% 16.7% 32.4%
Jared Dunn 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 6.9% 8.6% 9.1% 11.0% 14.2% 17.4% 18.5%
Christopher Hulse 6.1% 7.9% 8.0% 9.3% 9.3% 11.0% 11.8% 13.5% 13.1% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.