← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.63+5.82vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.64vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.54+4.08vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.02vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.35+2.62vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.93+3.23vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.22-2.25vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.69+2.01vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.70vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.00vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.16-2.49vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary0.68+1.73vs Predicted
-
13Washington College1.02-0.72vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University0.34+0.18vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College2.35-7.47vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.78-2.73vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University0.81-3.78vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-0.33-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
7.08Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.02U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.62University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.23Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
4.75Georgetown University3.220.2%1st Place
-
10.01Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.51Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
13.73William and Mary0.680.0%1st Place
-
12.28Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.18Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
-
7.53SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
-
13.27Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
-
13.22Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.83Columbia University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Feves | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Myers | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charles Carraway | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Burns | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Whisner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 12.7% |
| Alex Heim | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Alexander Yuen | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.