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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.59+2.79vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.64vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+3.38vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43+0.19vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University1.25+1.74vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.62-0.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.70-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.71-2.24vs Predicted
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10Amherst College0.92-2.42vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.49-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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6.38Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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4.19Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.74Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.97Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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3.59Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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5.76University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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7.58Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.37Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Giuliano | 20.3% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Richard Graef | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| Christopher Hulse | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.1% |
| Ryan White | 19.4% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Justin Marks | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 33.2% |
| Molly Haley | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.