← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University0.97+1.97vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.48vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University0.47+0.71vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+0.65vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.65-1.13vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.86-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97Old Dominion University0.9721.8%1st Place
-
3.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.7%1st Place
-
3.71George Washington University0.4711.7%1st Place
-
4.65U. S. Naval Academy-0.215.8%1st Place
-
3.87Christopher Newport University0.6511.8%1st Place
-
2.31Georgetown University1.8635.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 21.8% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 13.7% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 12.3% |
| Hayden Clary | 11.7% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 16.3% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 42.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 20.9% | 21.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 35.2% | 27.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.