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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.71+4.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.59+0.91vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43+0.18vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.62+0.97vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.92+1.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.70-3.39vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.50-1.79vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25-2.17vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.49-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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4.18Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.97Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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7.52Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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3.61Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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6.21Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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6.83Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.37Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Marks | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| Richard Graef | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| John Giuliano | 17.6% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
| Nick Belsito | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 33.3% |
| Ryan White | 18.8% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% |
| Jared Dunn | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| Molly Haley | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.