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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+8.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+2.46vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+9.01vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.11+7.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.19vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+2.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80+0.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+5.65vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-4.85vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.36-1.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-3.95vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University1.06+0.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.08vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-6.10vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.44vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.49-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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4.46Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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14.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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14.47Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.7% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 31.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 33.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.