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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.61vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+7.40vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+4.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+2.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+3.17vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+2.63vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.28vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.34vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98+1.95vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-6.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-1.87vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-7.01vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-6.81vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-1.18vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.11-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.82Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.5% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 34.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 33.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.