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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+5.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.47vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+4.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.41vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-1.82vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.72vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-2.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-3.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-4.49vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-3.33vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.72vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University1.06-2.12vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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14.88Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 17.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 36.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.