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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+6.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+6.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+5.26vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+0.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71+1.80vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University1.06+6.62vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.49-1.17vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-4.41vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-3.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.90vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-4.86vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-5.72vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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4.53Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.26Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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14.62Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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14.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 34.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 7.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.