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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.24vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+9.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+5.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.37vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.21vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.49+3.69vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+2.14vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.39vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.01-2.23vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-1.52vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University1.06+3.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.15vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-6.32vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-6.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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4.37Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.48Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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15.06Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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14.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.5% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 39.8% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 20.6% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.