← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut2.59+2.79vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.63vs Predicted
-
3Bates College2.43+1.26vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.70-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College1.50+1.25vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire1.71-0.23vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University1.49-0.67vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College0.92-0.50vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.00vs Predicted
-
11Brandeis University1.25-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
-
4.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
4.26Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
-
3.58Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
-
6.25Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.33Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
-
7.5Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.0Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
6.88Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Giuliano | 19.1% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Richard Graef | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan White | 19.7% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% |
| Justin Marks | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Molly Haley | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 31.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% |
| Jared Dunn | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.