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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+2.89vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.47+1.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-1.71vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97-1.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Christopher Newport University0.6511.3%1st Place
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3.71George Washington University0.4711.5%1st Place
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3.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6715.0%1st Place
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2.29Georgetown University1.8636.0%1st Place
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3.02Old Dominion University0.9720.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy-0.216.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 21.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 11.5% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 15.0% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 12.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 36.0% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 20.1% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 5.8% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.