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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+4.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+2.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+3.34vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+3.16vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University1.06+5.89vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.72vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-3.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-3.30vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.01-6.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-4.76vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-4.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.13vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.49-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.74Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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14.89Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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14.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 16.3% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 34.7% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 34.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.