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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+4.41vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+1.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.83vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46+0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.14vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University1.06+3.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-4.00vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-5.25vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.80-7.42vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-7.59vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.98-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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15.11Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 16.4% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 38.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 30.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.