← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.01+5.93vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.42+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.57+5.58vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.93+0.27vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University1.06+8.40vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.84+1.72vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.09-0.18vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.23-1.83vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.36+0.29vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.28vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.45-1.92vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.71-3.90vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.15vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.53vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.11-4.65vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.49-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.93Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
5.65Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.58Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
4.27Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
13.4Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
7.72Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.82Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.17Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.29Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
13.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
9.08Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.03Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.1% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 39.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 22.0% | 36.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| John Ped | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.