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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+4.01vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+3.92vs Predicted
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52.64+3.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83+1.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.73+4.04vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-1.04vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+1.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-3.64vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-2.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.65vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-2.96vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-0.81vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.35-3.51vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.672.640.0%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.96Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.36Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.19Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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15.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 24.2% | 28.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.