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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+7.10vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.84vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+2.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+1.92vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-0.23vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.31vs Predicted
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102.64-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-4.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-3.77vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-0.20vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.69+0.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.35-1.75vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.73-3.87vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.78-5.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.882.640.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.8Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.88Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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12.13Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.97Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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15.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 7.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 26.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 8.5% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.