Race 11B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Giuliano 19.9% 17.6% 13.9% 13.2% 11.3% 8.9% 7.4% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1%
Tommy Holmberg 15.8% 14.2% 14.6% 14.2% 12.4% 9.8% 8.0% 6.6% 3.1% 1.3%
Justin Marks 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 7.7% 10.1% 13.4% 11.8% 13.3% 12.1% 8.2%
Nick Belsito 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 6.4% 7.2% 7.2% 8.9% 11.9% 17.8% 31.5%
Ryan White 19.7% 19.1% 15.9% 14.7% 10.8% 8.9% 5.6% 2.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Molly Haley 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 7.6% 10.2% 10.1% 10.9% 12.5% 16.7% 11.9%
Jack Kerby-Miller 4.6% 5.9% 8.6% 7.9% 8.8% 12.0% 13.1% 12.4% 13.7% 13.0%
Christopher Hulse 6.9% 7.9% 9.1% 8.3% 8.5% 11.4% 13.1% 14.2% 11.1% 9.5%
Richard Graef 12.7% 12.2% 13.4% 13.0% 12.6% 10.3% 10.4% 8.6% 4.2% 2.6%
Jared Dunn 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 8.0% 10.8% 13.5% 16.6% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.