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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.64+7.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.44vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+5.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+3.81vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-0.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-0.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-2.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.73+1.10vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+3.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-6.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-2.47vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-2.05vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.35-2.69vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.82-8.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.842.640.1%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.35Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.1Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.31Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.95Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 31.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 7.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 22.5% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.