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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+4.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+3.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-0.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.35+4.19vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-2.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-3.18vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-2.13vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.73-1.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.75vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-4.81vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-0.91vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-5.02vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.08Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.66Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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15.09Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 8.6% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 28.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 19.5% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.