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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.48vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+2.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83-0.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-1.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-2.87vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.32vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-5.11vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.51vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-1.12vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.73-3.12vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.78-4.21vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-1.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.89Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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11.88Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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15.1Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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15.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 9.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 25.8% | 29.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 19.3% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.