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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.86vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.03vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+4.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+0.85vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.35vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+2.72vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-1.65vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.13vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-0.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-5.15vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.35-1.17vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.69-0.55vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.83-7.85vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.11Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.85Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.72Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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13.45Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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14.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 9.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 25.7% | 28.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 21.2% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.