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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.23vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+3.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54-0.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+0.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+1.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+1.48vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.35+1.90vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-0.49vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+1.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.89-6.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.83-7.12vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.00-8.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.48Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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13.41Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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14.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| William Michels | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 10.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 26.4% | 29.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 21.4% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.