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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+2.00vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+1.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86-0.73vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.47-0.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-0.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Old Dominion University0.9719.0%1st Place
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3.91Christopher Newport University0.6510.7%1st Place
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2.27Georgetown University1.8636.1%1st Place
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3.77George Washington University0.4711.1%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy-0.217.4%1st Place
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3.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6715.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 19.0% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 21.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 36.1% | 28.0% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Hayden Clary | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 16.1% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 41.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 15.7% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.