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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Giuliano 18.8% 17.4% 14.7% 13.6% 10.5% 10.3% 6.5% 4.1% 2.9% 1.2%
Tommy Holmberg 14.5% 15.2% 13.8% 13.7% 11.4% 11.9% 9.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6%
Jack Kerby-Miller 5.9% 5.6% 7.6% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8% 12.3% 16.7% 14.6% 12.1%
Ryan White 19.9% 17.9% 15.3% 14.4% 11.9% 9.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Jared Dunn 5.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 11.5% 12.3% 18.5% 18.3%
Nick Belsito 4.5% 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 7.2% 6.4% 8.0% 12.4% 16.0% 32.7%
Molly Haley 5.1% 5.6% 7.8% 8.1% 9.7% 11.0% 12.8% 13.6% 14.2% 12.1%
Justin Marks 6.3% 9.8% 9.2% 8.5% 11.5% 11.1% 13.0% 11.4% 10.1% 9.1%
Christopher Hulse 7.2% 6.5% 7.8% 9.9% 9.2% 10.6% 12.7% 13.0% 13.1% 10.0%
Richard Graef 12.3% 13.3% 12.9% 12.8% 12.5% 11.6% 9.2% 7.9% 5.4% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.