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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.59+2.83vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.43+2.23vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+3.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.70-0.38vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University1.25+1.78vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.92+1.44vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.49-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.71-2.24vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.62-2.96vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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4.23Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.39Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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3.62Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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6.78Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.44Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.34Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.76University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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6.04Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Giuliano | 18.8% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Ryan White | 19.9% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jared Dunn | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| Nick Belsito | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 32.7% |
| Molly Haley | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.1% |
| Justin Marks | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Christopher Hulse | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| Richard Graef | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.