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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+2.62vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.63+1.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.68vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.53-0.32vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-0.34-0.35vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.23-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.19Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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2.32U. S. Naval Academy2.350.3%1st Place
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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4.68Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.65Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 11.6% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 24.5% | 20.4% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 14.5% | 19.6% | 23.9% | 22.5% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Walshe | 30.5% | 30.2% | 22.5% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 36.2% | 26.7% | 20.0% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 34.8% | 22.6% | 7.5% |
| Kathryn Winters | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 41.7% | 26.5% |
| Quinn Sheehan | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 21.2% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.