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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.63+2.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University0.53+3.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.50-0.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.57vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.30vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.34-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.36Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
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2.65Georgetown University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.87U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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2.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.3%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Patrick Panarella | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Murray | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 36.6% | 23.1% |
| Daniel Hughes | 24.8% | 26.2% | 22.7% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 24.8% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Carminati | 6.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 26.4% | 20.3% | 8.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 27.2% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 18.2% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.