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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+3.32vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.70vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.50-0.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.12vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.53+0.42vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.63-2.14vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.34-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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2.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.3%1st Place
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2.65Georgetown University2.500.3%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
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3.86Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 20.0% | 7.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 25.4% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Hughes | 26.7% | 23.8% | 22.5% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Walshe | 23.1% | 21.3% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Murray | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 37.2% | 24.6% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.