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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.35+1.31vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.62vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-0.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University0.53+0.66vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.63-1.74vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-1.23+0.45vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.34-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31U. S. Naval Academy2.350.3%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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2.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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4.66Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
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3.26Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 32.6% | 30.4% | 19.1% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Carminati | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 37.2% | 27.0% | 20.6% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Murray | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 32.6% | 23.1% | 6.8% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 13.6% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 24.0% | 15.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Quinn Sheehan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 18.3% | 69.1% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 43.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.