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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.63+1.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University-0.34+2.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.29-1.29vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.53-1.38vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.23-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.2Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
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2.36U. S. Naval Academy2.350.3%1st Place
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3.71U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 37.7% | 27.8% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 13.5% | 21.2% | 21.8% | 24.5% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 16.0% | 39.8% | 27.8% |
| Cooper Walshe | 30.8% | 27.9% | 23.0% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Carminati | 8.8% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 26.3% | 20.3% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Murray | 5.3% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 32.7% | 23.4% | 6.8% |
| Quinn Sheehan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 20.7% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.