Race 1A

pccsc-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stephen Lue 7.5% 9.9% 8.8% 10.7% 12.3% 10.3% 13.3% 11.1% 8.4% 5.3% 2.4%
Ryan Sullivan 10.2% 10.3% 12.0% 11.8% 10.3% 10.4% 10.9% 11.0% 6.9% 5.4% 0.8%
Mateo Vargas 17.1% 19.3% 15.3% 12.4% 10.4% 10.6% 6.2% 5.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Judge Ryan 14.9% 13.5% 13.3% 14.1% 13.4% 10.0% 7.4% 6.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Sean Kelly 19.1% 15.9% 15.7% 10.4% 11.7% 9.2% 8.7% 4.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Thomas Maher 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 4.1% 5.6% 8.0% 10.1% 18.2% 38.6%
Brandon Wood 5.4% 3.4% 4.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 11.5% 13.4% 16.8% 18.4%
Jack Porter 7.4% 7.2% 8.3% 10.1% 8.9% 9.1% 11.6% 10.1% 10.3% 11.4% 5.6%
Zachary Hester 6.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.3% 9.4% 12.1% 10.7% 11.1% 11.6% 9.4% 5.4%
Eric Alamillo 4.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 9.3% 14.8% 17.3% 19.8%
Cody Shevitz 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 8.9% 6.7% 9.9% 9.5% 12.0% 14.1% 12.3% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.