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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+1.30vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.47+1.70vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+0.04vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.55vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65-1.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Georgetown University1.8634.5%1st Place
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3.7George Washington University0.4713.0%1st Place
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3.04Old Dominion University0.9720.5%1st Place
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3.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.4%1st Place
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3.9Christopher Newport University0.6510.4%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy-0.217.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 34.5% | 27.8% | 19.2% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 16.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 20.5% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 14.4% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 12.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 23.2% | 19.6% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.