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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+3.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.63+1.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.50-0.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.26vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-0.34+0.32vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.53-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.85Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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2.62Georgetown University2.500.3%1st Place
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2.86U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.3%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 24.9% | 20.7% | 8.0% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 12.6% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Hughes | 27.1% | 25.2% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 24.1% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 25.3% | 23.4% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Winters | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 65.8% |
| Patrick Murray | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 38.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.