← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.63+2.81vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.35+0.83vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University0.53+2.37vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.50-1.31vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.24vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.29-1.61vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University-0.34-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
-
2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
-
5.37Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
-
2.69Georgetown University2.500.3%1st Place
-
2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.2%1st Place
-
4.39U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
-
6.15Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Patrick Panarella | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 3.4% |
| Cooper Walshe | 22.3% | 24.1% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 34.7% | 26.3% |
| Daniel Hughes | 26.1% | 21.7% | 24.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 25.0% | 23.8% | 21.7% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Carminati | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 26.3% | 21.8% | 7.5% |
| Kathryn Winters | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.