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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.63+2.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.17vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.50-1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-0.34+0.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.53-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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2.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.3%1st Place
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2.83U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.500.3%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Patrick Panarella | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 26.0% | 24.7% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Walshe | 23.0% | 23.3% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Hughes | 27.2% | 23.0% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jack Carminati | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 27.7% | 19.2% | 8.8% |
| Kathryn Winters | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 64.7% |
| Patrick Murray | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 38.6% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.