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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.70+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+2.92vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.57-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73-1.51vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.43-1.96vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.61-1.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island1.730.2%1st Place
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4.04Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.07Roger Williams University1.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Powers | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 23.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| Carter Brock | 12.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 16.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 19.2% | 21.4% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 30.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 15.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.