← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.73+2.46vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.61+3.67vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College0.70+2.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.57-0.19vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.02-0.11vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.38-1.86vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.43-2.84vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.18-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46University of Rhode Island1.730.2%1st Place
-
5.67Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
-
5.45Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
-
3.81University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
-
4.89Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.14Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
4.16Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
-
4.42Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 20.5% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 27.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 25.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 16.6% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Carter Brock | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.