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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.57+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73+1.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.38+1.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02-0.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.43-1.97vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.61-1.32vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.70-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Rhode Island1.730.2%1st Place
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4.18Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.59Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.03Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.37Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palardy | 16.6% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 19.8% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 14.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Carter Brock | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 29.7% |
| Andrew Powers | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.