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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+11.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.83+8.50vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+9.69vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+0.62vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+3.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.85+0.82vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+3.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+2.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42+1.93vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.34-2.43vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.27-3.10vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.35-4.62vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.37-4.45vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.38-5.81vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.06-7.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-5.65vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.02-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.23University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University1.834.2%1st Place
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12.69George Washington University1.443.0%1st Place
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4.62Stanford University3.3017.5%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.486.2%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.8510.0%1st Place
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10.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.134.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy2.577.1%1st Place
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11.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.792.5%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island1.423.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College2.345.2%1st Place
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8.9Georgetown University2.275.2%1st Place
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8.38Tulane University2.355.5%1st Place
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9.55Brown University2.375.3%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston2.385.3%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.064.8%1st Place
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11.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.452.7%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.025.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 17.2% |
Kurt Stuebe | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.2% |
Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Mitchell Callahan | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Stephan Baker | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
JJ Klempen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
Henry Allgeier | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
Landon Cormie | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% |
Tyler Nash | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.7% |
Chase Decker | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
Peter Barnard | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Hamilton Barclay | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
Blake Behrens | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
Benjamin Dufour | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Julius Heitkoetter | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.