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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay2.30+2.51vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.74+1.05vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay2.30+0.51vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-1.13vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-3.14vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-3.13vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.74-3.95vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.74-4.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis2.13-5.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis2.13-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
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3.05Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.51California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
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2.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.2%1st Place
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1.86California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.5%1st Place
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2.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.2%1st Place
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3.05Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.05Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Schoch | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 31.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 14.8% | 21.6% | 23.5% | 23.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 31.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 18.3% | 22.9% | 24.7% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 48.1% | 27.9% | 15.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 18.3% | 22.9% | 24.7% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 14.8% | 21.6% | 23.5% | 23.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 14.8% | 21.6% | 23.5% | 23.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.