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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+1.28vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.97+0.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+1.68vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.53vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.47-1.28vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University1.8636.4%1st Place
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2.98Old Dominion University0.9719.4%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Naval Academy-0.215.9%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6715.4%1st Place
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3.72George Washington University0.4711.8%1st Place
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3.87Christopher Newport University0.6511.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 36.4% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 19.4% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 44.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 15.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 20.7% | 16.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.