Race 2A

pccsc-coed-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Kelly 15.3% 16.6% 16.1% 13.8% 11.3% 10.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Mateo Vargas 20.7% 17.8% 15.7% 12.8% 9.6% 9.9% 5.4% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Sullivan 9.6% 9.5% 9.7% 11.8% 11.1% 11.2% 9.8% 11.1% 9.2% 4.7% 2.3%
Judge Ryan 14.8% 14.3% 13.9% 11.9% 13.9% 10.2% 8.2% 6.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Stephen Lue 10.0% 9.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.7% 9.7% 11.3% 10.5% 7.0% 8.1% 2.7%
Eric Alamillo 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 4.8% 5.3% 7.3% 7.2% 11.2% 14.7% 16.4% 21.4%
Jack Porter 7.7% 7.4% 7.6% 9.7% 9.2% 9.9% 10.8% 13.4% 9.9% 8.6% 5.8%
Zachary Hester 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 11.3% 8.7% 11.7% 9.4% 3.9%
Cody Shevitz 5.1% 6.1% 5.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.2% 11.3% 12.1% 14.7% 11.5% 11.2%
Brandon Wood 3.6% 5.0% 4.6% 4.4% 7.2% 7.5% 9.1% 9.2% 13.2% 19.5% 16.7%
Thomas Maher 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 8.0% 7.8% 10.5% 18.1% 34.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.