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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.38+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.57+1.82vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+0.87vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.70+0.49vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.43-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73-3.45vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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4.57Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.49Connecticut College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.05Connecticut College1.430.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Rhode Island1.730.2%1st Place
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5.53Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hosek | 13.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Ryan Palardy | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Carter Brock | 12.3% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 25.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 20.1% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.