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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.79+5.68vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.60+5.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.10+2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.94-1.02vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.57-3.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.93-3.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.76-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.48-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.09-8.05vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.25-9.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.69Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
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7.38University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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5.92Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Dodd | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.4% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| Thomas Samuels | 19.8% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 5.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 16.7% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 48.0% |
| Emily Smith | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 16.0% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.