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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.93+6.03vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.09+2.85vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.10+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.25-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.41-2.34vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.94-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.60-0.49vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.79-3.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.76-2.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.48-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.69Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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7.42University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.52Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Brees | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Emily Smith | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.3% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Zackery Martin | 15.7% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Samuels | 20.2% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 12.7% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Grace Chitouras | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 20.6% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 19.5% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.