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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington-0.09+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.25+1.04vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.79+2.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.93+1.94vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.41-3.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.41-4.33vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.57-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.94-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.76-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.60-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.10-5.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.48-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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3.74Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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3.67University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 15.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.7% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 20.1% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 14.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.