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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.41+2.76vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.10+1.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.76+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.93-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.94-2.08vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.57-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.60-2.50vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.79-6.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.48-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of California at Davis0.410.2%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Samuels | 18.8% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.5% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 17.5% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 9.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tillie Morris | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 13.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Shanay Patel | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.