Race 3A

pccsc-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mateo Vargas 18.4% 17.8% 15.1% 13.1% 12.6% 9.7% 6.6% 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Craig Schifferns 6.7% 6.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.3% 10.0% 11.3% 11.8% 12.2% 10.8% 5.2%
Sean Kelly 15.7% 16.8% 14.7% 13.3% 10.9% 10.4% 7.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Judge Ryan 15.3% 13.4% 13.9% 13.9% 11.9% 11.2% 8.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.4% 1.1%
Brandon Wood 3.7% 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 5.8% 7.8% 7.2% 11.0% 13.2% 17.9% 19.5%
Stephen Lue 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 11.7% 9.9% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.0% 6.9% 3.5%
Jack Porter 7.7% 7.3% 9.8% 7.8% 10.3% 8.5% 11.8% 13.0% 10.9% 8.4% 4.5%
Eric Alamillo 4.2% 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 7.2% 6.9% 8.7% 10.0% 14.2% 16.8% 19.8%
Cody Shevitz 5.0% 6.3% 4.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.5% 11.6% 13.4% 12.7% 13.9% 9.2%
Thomas Maher 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 4.8% 6.8% 8.0% 11.1% 18.1% 35.5%
Ryan Sullivan 11.4% 11.4% 12.2% 10.4% 11.8% 10.7% 10.3% 8.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.