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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.72+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+2.72vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84-0.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10-0.18vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.16vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-0.44vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-2.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Bates College0.7218.0%1st Place
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4.72University of New Hampshire0.1011.4%1st Place
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4.59Northeastern University0.4612.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Vermont0.8422.1%1st Place
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4.82Boston University0.1011.0%1st Place
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4.84Maine Maritime Academy0.2010.5%1st Place
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6.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.654.5%1st Place
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5.91McGill University-0.365.6%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.694.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 18.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Sam Harris | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 22.1% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Griffin Stolp | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 29.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.